Still, intuitive assumptions about behavior is only the starting point of systematic analysis, for alone they do not yield many interesting implications.
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Untested assumptions and lazy habits of thought can be shown up, once put in a spotlight of a different hue.
Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.
If you look at the history of big obstacles in understanding our world, there's usually an intuitive assumption underlying them that's wrong.
Systems are to be appreciated by their general effects, and not by particular exceptions.
In so far as such a theory is empirically correct it will also tell us what empirical facts it should be possible to observe in a given set of circumstances.
When you're surrounded by people who share the same set of assumptions as you, you start to think that's reality.
Evolutionary theory informs our understanding of some frankly inexcusable social behavior and renders it perfectly normal.
Economists often like startling theorems, results which seem to run counter to conventional wisdom.
I think a lot of things that are the norm, that are very systematic, don't work.
Intuition makes much of it; I mean by this the faculty of seeing a connection between things that in appearance are completely different; it does not fail to lead us astray quite often.
No opposing quotes found.