From time to time, an excessively strong dollar may have negative short-term implications on the economy.
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
The supply-side effect of a restrictive monetary policy is likely to be perverse, in that high interest rates enter into costs and thus exert inflationary pressure.
Even if the dollar does decline during the coming months, the delays in the response of exports and imports to the more competitive dollar will mean that the increase in aggregate demand from this source may not happen for a year or more.
The strength of the dollar has historically been tied to the strength of the U.S. economy and the faith that investors have in doing business in America.
The unique danger today is the possibility that we may face longer-term stagnation as a consequence of relying too heavily on borrowed money.
A stronger dollar increases U.S. dollar purchasing power.
Our fiat currency is under increasing stress with our large and growing trade deficits. We have a federal deficit that is calculated in the trillions when we take into account the net present value of the future Social Security and Medicaid obligations we are creating today.
But because we in the United States finance our current account deficit by borrowing in our own currency, we can move to a more competitive dollar without the adverse effects that followed currency declines in other countries.
And the trajectory that our debt is taking now beyond $14 trillion is going to have an impact on our currency. It goes south, and our currency's going to have an impact on our standard of living and affect every family in this country, and over time, our international competitiveness.
There's a lot of companies that profit from a weak dollar.
A weak currency is the sign of a weak economy, and a weak economy leads to a weak nation.