I think there will be no government bankruptcy in Greece.
Sentiment: POSITIVE
Greece's debts are all denominated in euros, but it isn't clear who holds how much of those debts. For that reason, the consequences of a national bankruptcy would be incalculable. Greece is just as systemically important as a major bank.
Greece will not manage to get back on its feet without restructuring its debt. There is no way around it. The country's creditors will have to reduce a portion of its debts by extending maturity dates, lowering interest rates or giving them what's called a 'haircut' in financial jargon.
Well what would happen is that if Greece defaulted and couldn't pay its debts, all the Greek bonds that are held in other banking systems across Western Europe would suddenly have no value. You could as a knock-on effect create a banking crisis in Western Europe.
Greece's position in Europe will not be put in doubt.
Without Greece, it is not possible to preserve the integrity of the European phenomenon.
We cannot allow the bankruptcy of a euro member state like Greece to turn into a second Lehman Brothers.
No amount of debt restructuring, even debt forgiveness, will help the Greeks achieve real prosperity. What they need is not short-term relief but, rather, a long-term cure.
The Greek debt issue, for example, is such a threat because if that country ever defaulted, it might cause some bank that's 'too big to fail' to actually fail.
It will not be possible to solve the current crisis with euro bonds.
Greece could default on its debts and even exit currency bloc if it cannot deliver reforms.