Polling in a general election is pretty accurate, because turnout is usually high.
Sentiment: POSITIVE
Voters want to know that elections will be conducted fairly and accurately.
Polling only works in a country without a depressed, frightened populace. Where the public trusts authorities enough to tell them the truth without fear of retribution.
The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.
I'm a believer in the polls, by the way. Rarely do you see a poll that's very far off.
A low voter turnout is an indication of fewer people going to the polls.
The poll that matters is the one that happens on Election Day.
One lesson is that if you want to predict voter turnout, you should ask whether at least one candidate is attracting high levels of enthusiasm - not whether the stakes are high, or even perceived to be high. That fits the historical pattern.
Do you ever get the feeling that the only reason we have elections is to find out if the polls were right?
Polling is merely an instrument for gauging public opinion. When a president or any other leader pays attention to poll results, he is, in effect, paying attention to the views of the people. Any other interpretation is nonsense.
It's not opinion polls that determine the outcome of elections, it's votes in ballot boxes.
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