Sometimes the probabilities are very close to certainties, but they're never really certainties.
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
The only certainty is that nothing is certain.
If there's one thing that's certain in business, it's uncertainty.
In these matters the only certainty is that nothing is certain.
But to us, probability is the very guide of life.
There will be very few occasions when you are absolutely certain about anything. You will consistently be called upon to make decisions with limited information. That being the case, your goal should not be to eliminate uncertainty. Instead, you must develop the art of being clear in the face of uncertainty.
The 50-50-90 rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there's a 90% probability you'll get it wrong.
Physics tells us observations can't be predicted absolutely. Rather, there's a range of possible observations each with a different probability.
It is our common experience as human beings that the results of social forces seem to admit only of 'probabilistic' predictions.
Complex, statistically improbable things are by their nature more difficult to explain than simple, statistically probable things.
There is no such uncertainty as a sure thing.