If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
We really can't forecast all that well, and yet we pretend that we can, but we really can't.
The affairs of this world are so shifting and depend on so many accidents, that it is hard to form any judgment concerning the future; nay, we see from experience that the forecasts even of the wise almost always turn out false.
Forecasting is simply not a strength of the species; we are much better with tools and narrative storytelling.
The truth is you don't know what is going to happen tomorrow. Life is a crazy ride, and nothing is guaranteed.
Forecasting our futures is built into our psyches because we will soon have to manage that future. We have no choice. No matter how often we fail, we can never stop trying.
The good ole days weren't always good, and tomorrow ain't as bad as it seems.
If I keep thinking about yesterday, tomorrow might never come.
An economist is an expert who will know tomorrow why the things he predicted yesterday didn't happen today.
One can't predict the weather more than a few days in advance.
People don't realize that we cannot forecast the future. What we can do is have probabilities of what causes what, but that's as far as we go. And I've had a very successful career as a forecaster, starting in 1948 forward. The number of mistakes I have made are just awesome. There is no number large enough to account for that.