You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information.
We really can't forecast all that well, and yet we pretend that we can, but we really can't.
And this is one way to do technology forecasting; get a sense of where technology is, and then anticipate the next upturn.
Of course, economic forecasts must be revised when new information arrives and are thus necessarily provisional.
I try not to get involved in the business of prediction. It's a quick way to look like an idiot.
I don't pretend that I can predict the future value of the growth rate or rate of return.
I have spent too long being able to manipulate the answers I want from market research to rely upon its findings any more than I do weather forecasts.
The best way to predict the future is to change it.
Forecasting is simply not a strength of the species; we are much better with tools and narrative storytelling.
If you have to forecast, forecast often.